Published: Mon, May 20, 2019
Worldwide | By Isabel Fisher

Modi set to win election, exit polls show

Modi set to win election, exit polls show

"The syndicate suffered losses in crores. because betting had been run for Congress' 150 seats and BJP's 218 seats".

The election is seen as a referendum on Modi and the BJP.

At a time when non-NDA leaders are queuing up to question the predictions of Sunday's exit polls, Ram Madhav has said that casting doubts on these surveys is a matter of convenience for the Opposition.

Observers expect Modi's BJP to stay in power but with fewer seats than it picked up in the 2014 general election.

Joseph Thomas, Head Research at Emkay Wealth Management said, "The exit polls broadly indicate a greater probability for the return of the current dispensation for yet another term".

Only the south largely resisted the Hindu nationalist surge, except for Karnataka, home to software capital Bengaluru.

He said there was a time when Indian Premier League had to be shifted out of India due to polls, but under the current government, elections can be held even when the Ramzan was being observed and Easter commemorated. Those giving over 300 seats to the BJP included TimesNow-VMR, which predicted 306 seats for the ruling coalition; India Today-Axis, which gave a staggering number of 339-365 seats to the NDA; and CNN News18-Ipsos, which predicted that the NDA could win up to 336 seats in the 543-Member Lok Sabha. The BJP, on its own, may fall short of majority by nine seats. Indians are voting in the seventh and final phase of national elections, wrapping up a 6-week-long long, grueling campaign season with Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Hindu nationalist party seeking reelection for another five years.


Speaking to TNM, TRS spokesman Abid Rasool Khan said, "We are of the opinion that the exit polls are not on the mark". Forex traders said investors welcomed the exit poll results that predict a thumping majority for the current BJP-led government. "We should impress the world with the diversity of the democracy", he said. "We will prefer to wait and watch till the final results are out", Manoj Mishra, an SP supporter, said.

"Modi is the biggest sufferer of political intolerance". "We have fought this election under the able leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi".

Muslims, form a significant 22 per cent of the total population.

But the vote increasingly became a personal referendum on one of India's most popular and divisive prime ministers ever.

"We (SP-BSP-RLD) should get nothing less than 55 seats as the alliance has done exceedingly well. Only a strong leader can meet our aspirations, and Modi is that leader".

Modi faced criticism early on in the campaign for failing to create jobs for youth and for weak farm prices and the election race was thought to be tightening with the main opposition Congress party gaining ground. There are several techniques that are used by scores of organisations such as Cube Law (where seat-share is an important factor), or Index of Opposition Unity (where a party's vote share assists its ally), or Probabilistic Count (which helps in deciphering large data).

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