Published: Wed, July 10, 2019
Research | By Raquel Erickson

Gulf Coast residents should keep an eye on potential storm

Gulf Coast residents should keep an eye on potential storm

With a lower wind speed, it would be a tropical depression.

Forecasters said the weather disturbance is expected to become a tropical depression by Thursday morning, a tropical storm by that night and a hurricane on Friday.

A storm surge watch is now in effect for Mouth of Pearl River to Morgan River in Louisiana. Lanza pointed to a tweet from Michael Lowry, a tropical storm expert who works at the Federal Emergency Management Agency, noting that while 50-60 percent of Atlantic tropical cyclones start near Africa as series of thunderstorms, that still leaves a good chunk with other origins.

Widespread flooding has already been reported in New Orleans.

And an Upper Texas Coast landfall still keeps flooding rains and storm surge as significant risks for portions of the Acadiana area.

The storm is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Barry by Thursday as it moves over open water south of Louisiana.

The National Hurricane Center has increased the likelihood from 70% to 90% of a tropical storm developing over the next 48 hours, in the Gulf of Mexico.

The system could track along the northern Gulf of Mexico this week and bring thunderstorms to several states along the Gulf Coast.


However, if this storm tracks farther to the west into East Texas, our rain chances would need to be adjusted upwards as pockets of heavy rain would become more numerous in nature this weekend. "This threat includes New Orleans".

Shell has evacuated all non-essential staff from eastern Gulf drilling rigs, with more action on the horizon depending on how the storm develops, spokeswoman Cindy Babski said.

The National Weather Service said New Orleans is protected to a river level of 20 feet (6.1 meters), but it was forecast to rise above flood stage to 19 feet (5.8 meters) by Friday.

The strongest recent storm to make landfall in the United States in July was Hurricane Dennis, which hit the western Florida Panhandle on July 10, 2005, as a Category 3 hurricane, the Weather Channel said. Isolated tornadoes and rip currents are also likely.

Tropical systems are occasional visitors to the U.S.in July: The most recent July hurricane to hit the continental US was Hurricane Arthur in North Carolina in 2014, according to Colorado State University meteorologist Phil Klotzbach.

BSEE said more than 600,000 barrels per day of Gulf oil production and 17% of the region's natural gas production was shut by producers.

The unnamed system is spinning in the same general area where Hurricane Michael gained strength last October.

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